Monday, 10 February 2020

DMart dream run makes Damani 6th richest | Preference shares lose out to NCDs | Investors pile up on midcap funds

MORNING NEWSLETTER

11 Feb, 2020 | 08:38 AM IST

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Good Morning!

Usually, returns from most mutual funds are around the category average with just a handful of them outperforming or lagging behind in a big way. But the extent of outperformance or underperformance seen in smallcap funds since January 2018 has been extreme, with the performers delivering 22-26 per cent returns and laggards 2-6 per cent. Analysts cite higher cash in portfolio, more churn and lower assets under management as key differentiators of performers from non-performers.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 36 points higher at 7 am (IST), indicating a good start ahead for Dalal Street. Shares in the rest of Asia looked set for another cautious session on Tuesday, as investors tried to judge how quickly China's factories could return to work as the coronavirus continues to spread and deaths mount. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan inched up 0.1% with the Australian market rising 0.6% and South Korea's KOSPI lifting 0.7%. Japan's Nikkei was closed for a holiday.

    US stocks reversed early losses on Monday, helping Dow to grind a step closer to the 30,000 mark despite a spate of alarming coronavirus headlines. Nasdaq surged 0.94% to 9,610, Dow climbed 131 points to 29,233, and S&P500 0.57% to 3,346.

    Oil prices rose more than 1 per cent on Tuesday as recent sharp falls have encouraged investors holding short positions to book profits, but the market remains jittery over the Wuhan virus, which has now killed more than 1,000 in China. Brent crude rose 79 cents, or nearly 1.5 per cent, to $54.06 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate was up 63 cents, or about 1.3 per cent, to $50.20.

    The rupee rose 10 paise on Monday to close at 71.30 against the US dollar amid easing crude oil prices and weakening of the American currency in the overseas market

LOOK WHO'S

It's Advantage NCDs… The latest proposal to abolish the DDT and a shift in the onus of compliance to individual investors is making non-convertible debentures (NCDs) more popular at the expense of preference shares. Investors are now keener on high single-digit yields on debt papers of the Tata Group and Birla Group instead of the quasi-equity instruments. Preference shares were yielding 7.25% (yield-to-maturity) before the Budget, but the gauge is at 9% or above now. But buyers are rather rare even at such elevated levels. Read More

D'Mart on a High... Avenue Supermarts crossed Rs 1.50 lakh crore in market capitalisation on Monday, surpassing Nestle and Bajaj Finserv to become India's 18th most valuable company. The company listed on March 21, 2017 at a market capitalisation of Rs 39,988 crore has risen 290% since. Avenue shares rose 8.6% to close at an all-time high of Rs 2,484.15 on Monday after the company announced a share sale for institutional investors on February 5. The run-up in share price made Avenue's founder Radhakishan Damani, also considered an astute stock market participant, India's sixth richest person with a net worth of $11.9 billion, wealthier than Gautam Adani ($10.8 billion) and Sunil Mittal ($9.6 billion). Read More

Midcap Funds in Favour... Investors poured money into midcap and smallcap mutual fund products in January, driving up flows into the equity scheme category by Rs 7,877 crore against Rs 4,499 crore in December. Industry officials said cheaper valuations of the smaller shares and a rally in the broader market before the Budget resulted in fresh flows into these categories. In November 2019, flows had dipped to as low as Rs 1,311 crore. Meanwhile, inflows through SIPs in mutual funds hit another all-time high of Rs 8,532 crore in January, 2020, vaulting past a December record. AMFI data showed that for the 14th consecutive month, collections through SIPs have stayed above the Rs 8,000 crore mark. Read More

WHO'S
Motown Misery… Passenger vehicle sales in the local market dropped 6.2% to 262,714 units in January, amid weak demand and inventory correction by carmakers ahead of the transition to new emission standards in April. Sales of commercial vehicles fell 14% to 75,289 units last month, while two-wheeler sales declined 16% to 1,341,005 units. Among two-wheelers, scooters sales dropped 16.21% to 416,594 units and those of motorcycles fell 15.17% to 871,886 units. Read More

Amazon Challenge… Amazon on Monday filed a petition in the Karnataka High Court to "quash" the investigation ordered by India's competition watchdog into alleged malpractices by the online marketplace. The American company also sought an interim stay on the probe ordered by Competition Commission of India last month while its petition is heard by the court. In its submission, Amazon claimed that CCI's order would cause irreparable damage and loss to its goodwill. Read More

Meanwhile...
Clueless on Growth… India's economy is experiencing a slower rate of growth across sectors and it's not easy to predict when demand is likely to recover, says ITC chairman Sanjiv Puri. "It's very difficult to say anything conclusively at this point of time. I am hopeful that sooner or later, we will start seeing an uptick," he said. The cigarettes-to-cookies conglomerate, which faces the highest exposure to agriculture within the consumer products market in terms of sales as well as sourcing, said farm incomes have to rise for India to get onto a higher and more sustainable growth trajectory. Read More
KEY INDICES
18,191  -176.3
14,776  -64.0
31,058  -143.8
16,432  -38.2
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

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Stocks to Watch >>>

    IL&FS Group has received approvals from various government authorities for claims worth about Rs 2,700 crore towards stuck or incomplete road projects, officials said.

    Coal India's costs are likely to fall as it will have 40,000 fewer employees in five years and will use better equipment, helping it face private competition. The PSU is likely to recruit 2,000-3,000 people annually, while 8,000-10,000 retire every year.

    Competition watchdog CCI has approved the transfer of Ford Motor's India business to a joint venture between M&M and Ford Motor Company.

    Shares of Bharat Wire Ropes rallied over 26% to Rs 32 in the last three sessions after NSE bulk deal data last week showed Motilal Oswal Financial Services founders Raamdeo Agrawal and Motilal Oswal had bought 9.42 lakh shares each in the manufacturer of steel wire rope company from Osag Enterprises

    The $1.3-billion offer for Fortis Hospitals by Malaysia's IHH has come under the scanner of SFIO, which has widened its probe to cover the July 2018 deal

UnQuote: FUND FUNDA
Don't jump around, 4-5 funds can fulfil needs of most investors
Dhirendra Kumar, Value Research

The DAY PLANNER

    Q3 Earnings: Allahabad Bank | BEML | BHEL | CESC | COAL INDIA | CRISIL | DB REALTY | GIC HOUSING | IDBI | SYNDICATE BANK |
    UK Dec Balance of Trade
    ECB President Lagarde Speech
    US Fed Chair Powell Testimony
    UK Dec YoY GDP Print
    BoE Haskel Speech

OUTLOOK

PHARMA: RISK COMING DOWN
    Prakash Agarwal of Axis Capital says price erosion continues in pharma, but there are pockets where there have been supply disruptions and there are pockets where there has been better sales realisation. "So it is a mixed bag. As of now, we have not seen price increases; it is just that the discounts have come down and price realisations have become partly better. The good part is the concentration risk has come down," he said.

QUALITY BETS: EYES ON MIDCAPS
    Atul Suri of Marathon Trends says the whole rally this time may happening in the quality space. "The moment I say quality, you think largecaps. But quality is also there in midcaps. Ultimately, the market is rewarding quality. Midcaps, as a class, have been hammered; but a lot of fund managers are allocating funds to quality midcaps. Ultimately it is all about earnings," he said.

REALTY: RBI BOOSTER TO HELP
    Independent market expert Sandip Sabharwal says in the real estate space, what RBI did was quite significant It is more so for lenders. "It depends on who you want to play. The lenders benefit a lot in the immediate term because of NPA recognition. All the lenders -- be it Piramal, L&T Finance, LIC Finance or many of the others -- are lending to developers. As a result of the 90-day norm, they had to recognise NPAs on delays. They would benefit now," he said.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Jubilant Foodworks Ltd. 11 Feb, 2020 | 08:30 AM IST buyBuy
Kolte-Patil Developers Ltd. 11 Feb, 2020 | 08:30 AM IST buyBuy


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