Tuesday 30 June 2020

MNCs pay dollops of dividends | Premji Invest, SBI eye Future Generali | Voda Idea reports mega Q4 loss

MORNING NEWSLETTER

1 Jul, 2020 | 09:03 AM IST


Good Morning!

The moment Covid-19 struck, bank stocks took the biggest hit, as investors rushed to dump them fearing a spike in bad loans. The moratorium on loan EMIs, suspension of bankruptcy rules, the government's credit guarantee scheme for MSMEs and increased pressure to lend only added to the worries. RBI has got the lenders to make solid provisions towards Covid-19. Yet, when leading banks queued up to raise Tier-I capital in large amounts even when they have parked surplus liquidity with RBI, it raised worries that another round of NPA cycle may be coming back.

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MARKET CUES: Where do we stand >>>

    Nifty futures on Singapore Exchange traded 45 points lower at 7 am (IST) signalling a negative start ahead for Dalal Street

    Nifty50 formed a small bearish candle on the daily chart on Tuesday after forming indecisive Doji candles for two consecutive sessions. Analysts said the index is losing strength and the bias has turned negative.

    Asian stocks started the new quarter in a muted fashion, as investors assessed mixed data on the global economy. Shares edged lower in Japan on low volumes, but stocks ticked higher in Shanghai and Sydney. South Korea saw a bigger advance. Hong Kong is closed for a holiday.

    The S&P 500 rallied on Tuesday to finish higher and secure its biggest quarterly percentage gain in more than two decades as improving economic data bolstered investor beliefs that a stimulus-backed rebound for the US economy was on the horizon. Dow rose 217 points, or 0.85%, the S&P500 47.05 points, or 1.54%, and the Nasdaq 184.61 points, or 1.87%

    The rupee on Tuesday settled 7 paise higher at 75.51 against the US dollar tracking gains in the domestic equity market.

    The US dollar held on to gains against the yen on Wednesday, while the euro was hemmed into a narrow range by traders. Sterling held on firmly to the previous session's gains, and Swiss franc perked up against the greenback.

    Oil prices rose after an industry report showed crude inventories in the US fell much more than expected. Brent crude rose 33 cents, or 0.8%, to $41.60 a barrel while WTI crude gained 42 cents, or 1.1%, to $39.69 a barrel\

    Domestic gold prices rose to Rs 48,559 from Rs 48,534 per 10 gm while silver made marginal gains from Rs 48,556 to settle at Rs 48,600 per kg. In international markets, gold surged to its highest in nearly 8 years on Tuesday amid mounting fears of a resurgence of new coronavirus cases. Spot gold jumped 0.5% to $1,779.44 an ounce.
LOOK WHO'S
MNCs dole out dividends with both hands… The big dividend rush by MNCs is on. Taking advantage of the absence of dividend distribution tax (DDT), many multinational companies have been doling out large dividends over the past two months. Pharma major Pfizer paid a special dividend of Rs 320 per share, or 3,200%, last month compared to Rs 22.50 last year. Sanofi India paid Rs 106 and a one-time special dividend of Rs 243 recently. Sanofi's total dividend this year was Rs 349 per share against last year's Rs 66. Read More

Current account surplus after 13 years… Data released by RBI shows the country recorded a current account surplus of $600 million (0.1% of GDP) for the January-March 2020 quarter against a $4.5 billion deficit a year ago. The last time the current account was in surplus was over a decade ago in March 2007. The surplus was generated because of the trade deficit shrinking to $35 billion and a sharp rise in net invisible receipts at $35.6 billion compared with the year-ago period. Read More

Bonanza for SBI, other Yes Bank investors… SBI and other lenders that had purchased 10 billion equity shares of YES Bank at Rs 10 per share under the reconstruction scheme approved by RBI will not have to pay tax on the price differential between what was paid by them and the fair market value. In a notification issued on Tuesday, the Central Board of Direct Taxes has provided for an exemption from deemed tax to the equity share purchase transaction. Read More

Premji Invest, SBI eye Future Generali… Wipro's billionaire founder Azim Premji's investment firm Premji Invest and SBI General Insurance are exploring a joint bid to acquire Future Generali. Future Group is keen to sell its stake in the insurance venture and Italy's Generali Group is said to be considering an exit from India. Premji Invest has a 16% stake in SBI General Insurance, which was acquired last year when Insurance Australia Group (IAG) offloaded a 26% holding in the insurer. Warburg incus picked up the remaining stake. Read More

AND WHO'S
Voda Idea reports major Q4 loss… Vodafone Idea posted Rs 11,643.5 crore loss for March quarter, its seventh successive three-month period in the red, hurt by loss of subscribers, high finance costs and a one-time charge related mainly to its statutory dues. The telco warned of continued threat to its viability unless the Supreme Court allows it to pay the thousands of crores in adjusted gross revenue to the government in instalments, besides being able to renegotiate repayment terms with its lenders. Read More

Core sector shrinks in May… India's infrastructure sector contracted at a slower pace in May compared with April, data released on Tuesday showed, helped by the relaxation in lockdown restrictions and good growth in fertiliser production ahead of the sowing season. The index of eight core industries dropped 23.4% in May from a year earlier; in April, the fall was 37%. Output contracted 30% in the first two months of the current financial year. Read More

Banks set aside Rs 13K cr towards Covid hit… Indian banks have set aside Rs 13,653.2 crore for provisions towards moratorium and deferments related to Covid-19 in March quarter. This raised the total loan loss provision for Q4 by 22.7% to Rs 73,712 crore, which was 15.8% lower than the year-ago period. Covid provisioning was 18.5% of total loan loss provisioning for the quarter and in the absence of it, the loan loss for Q4 would have been Rs 60,058.8 crore. Read More

Diesel cars going out of choice… Diesel is increasingly going out of the choice list of the passenger vehicle buyer in India, as the fuel's price differential with petrol is disappearing. As much as 58% of new passenger vehicle sales in FY12 were dieselpowered cars, utility vehicles and vans. The share has come down to 28% in the fiscal year ended in March 2020, and just 17% in the final quarter. This trend is expected to accelerate. Read More

Meanwhile...
Sharp drop in personal loans… Bank loans to individuals under the personal segment shrunk by Rs 74,790 crore in April and May driven by a sharp drop in credit card outstanding and a decline in loans against fixed deposits. Bank advances to the services sector and industry also recorded a sharp drop. A decline in bank credit to businesses in the first quarter is not unusual as companies repay some of the high borrowings they undertake at the end of the previous financial year. The overall drop in non-food credit in April-May at Rs 1.82 lakh crore is identical to the drop seen in the previous year. Read More
KEY INDICES
14,704  -31.2
12,381  -93.69
21,370 + 11.15
14,754  -13.7
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

HUL has initiated discussions on possible alternatives to raw materials that the company imports from China. HUL CMD Sanjiv Mehta said in response to shareholders' queries at the company's 87th AGM that was held virtually on Tuesday.

ONGC has reported its first-ever quarterly loss at Rs 3,098 crore for March quarter, against Rs 4,240 crore profit in the corresponding quarter after the company booked impairment cost on account of the crash in oil and gas prices.

Bharti Airtel is in advanced talks with PE firm Carlyle to sell roughly 20% stake in its wholly owned data centre unit, Nxtra Data, for $200-250m (Rs 1,500-1,900 cr)

Tata Sons may lend long-term critical financial support to Tata Steel's struggling UK and Dutch units since funding support expected from the UK government is unlikely to be more than one-fifth of the £500 million sought

Dr Reddy's Laboratories is in talks with Japanese drug maker Fujifilm for a licensing agreement to bring the flu drug Avigan to India, pitting it against Indian generic companies that have developed the drug for mild Covid-19 cases.

UnQuote: POLICY PULSE
Govt needs to understand the difference between self-sufficiency & self-reliance
Swaminathan Aiyar, Consulting Editor, ETNow

The DAY PLANNER

    India June Auto Sales Numbers
    Japan Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI Final June (06.00 am)
    India June Markit Manufacturing PMI (10.30 am)
    China Caixin Manufacturing PMI June (07.15 am)
    Japan June Consumer Confidence (10.30 am)
    UK Nationwide Housing Price June (11.30 am)
    UK Markit/CIPS Manufacturing PMI Final June (02.00 pm)
    US FOMC Minutes (11.30 pm)

OUTLOOK
Not all midcaps suffer in a downturn
    Pankaj Tibrewal of Kotak Mutual Fund says it's a myth that in a downturn, midcaps and smallcaps face the brunt. "I think it will be too general a statement. Even in this environment, there are many sectors, which are represented by midcaps and smallcaps and where they are the leaders. They are doing fairly well. The silver lining even in this downturn in the economy has been rural and our ground checks are suggesting that companies connected with rural demand are seeing very strong growth momentum," he says. Read More

Maruti back on investors' radar
    Saurabh Mukherjea of Marcellus Investment Managers says after three years, he bought Maruti in some of client portfolios broadly. "Our reckoning is that the auto sector and the passenger vehicle sector will consolidate around Maruti, Toyota as one consortium and Hyundai and Kia as the other. Everybody else pretty much is irrelevant. If you have two strong players, there will be strong entry barriers around those two players. Maruti caters to the lower end of the market; the cheaper segment of the car market. The industry starts to become very-very attractive," he says. Read More

Rural sector to recover faster
    Upasna Bhardwaj of Kotak Mahindra Bank says the rural economy will outperform in revival from the Covid-19 crisis. "The urban economy will underperform with a very slow recovery rate. Certain select sectors which will be more essentials and second leg essentials which will probably see relatively earlier recovery. Most of the consumer discretionary items or high ticket items will take longer to evolve and recover largely because that is going to be dependent on how the urban economy is going to fare," says she. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Greenply Industries Ltd. 1 Jul, 2020 | 08:59 AM IST buyBuy
Piramal Enterprises Ltd. 1 Jul, 2020 | 08:42 AM IST buyAdd


Nifty tech charts show loss of strength I June auto sales may plunge 70% I Gold eyes best quarter in 4 years

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DAILY BRIEF

Tue, Jun 30, 2020

#Q4Results#Coronavirus#StimulusPackage#ExpertViews#StockRecos
TOP OF THE DAY
Nifty forms small bearish candle, shows steady loss of strength
Analysts said the index is losing strength and the bias has turned negative.
June auto sales may plunge up to 70%, but demand looking up
Gold prices eye best quarter in four years as virus fears persist
ETMarkets Survey: Betting on Dec earnings recovery? Read this
ETMarkets Survey: Nifty50 won't revisit March lows
Resurgence of rural economy a striking theme, says Mukherjea
Low volatility signals bullish stance, but Nifty gives bearish vibes

Top Gainers

NSE
8 companies (largecap) appreciated more than 3%
IDBI Bank 5.00%
Bosch 4.23%
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Top Losers

NSE
1 company (largecap) price decreased more than -5%
Trent -5.57%
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52 Week High

NSE
50 companies touched new 52-week high today
Sakar Healthcare Ltd. 19.97%
KSS Ltd 12.50%
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'Policy focus biggest differentiator between rural, urban economy'
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Emami Ltd. Buy
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Is Bharti Airtel making another attempt at the gap resistance?
Should you be eyeing midcap stocks right now? Tibrewal explains
Hedge funds remain wary of rally on D-Street
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