Wednesday, 23 September 2020

TCS bears brunt of Mistry exit from Tata Sons | Short selling in GMM Pfaudler signals insider egde? | IPO rush on even in weak market

MORNING NEWSLETTER

24 Sep, 2020 | 08:43 AM IST


Good Morning!

It took 4 years for corporate dividends in Europe and the US to recover to original levels after the 2008-09 crisis. Janus Henderson says dividends may fall by over $100 billion in the US & Europe and by $400 billion globally this year thanks to the Covid disruption. Dividend futures that allow punters to take positions on future payouts suggest it may take a decade for these payouts to return to pre-Covid levels. That says something about when the world can get into a self-sustaining recovery mode.

78287747

MARKET CUES: Where do we stand >>>
    Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 176 points down at 7 am (IST) this morning, indicating a major selloff ahead on Dalal Street.

    On Wednesday, Nifty50 declined for the fifth trading session and formed a bearish candle with a long wick. The index looked oversold, but analysts are ruling out any strong rebound

    Asian stocks opened lower on Thursday, tracking a sharply lower Wall Street session. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 1.6% and Japan's Nikkei 225 declined 0.56%.

    Wall Street's main indices fell sharply on Wednesday after data showing a cooling of US business activity and the stalemate in Congress over more fiscal stimulus heightened concerns about the economy. Dow fell 525.05 points, or 1.92%; the S&P 500 lost 78.65 points, or 2.37%, and the Nasdaq dropped 330.65 points, or 3.02%.

    Oil futures fell on Thursday on concerns the economic recovery in the US. WTI crude futures fell 36 cents, or 0.9%, to $39.57 a barrel, while Brent crude futures slipped 28 cents, or 0.7%, to $41.49

    The rupee appreciated by one paisa to close at 73.57 against the US dollar on Wednesday, as investors turned cautious amid weak domestic equities

    The dollar extended gains against most currencies on Thursday amid worries over economic slowdown in Europe and the US. The pound traded near its weakest level since late July, while the greenback hit a near nine-week high against the Swiis Franc. The US currency also held on to a 0.4% gain against the yen

    Gold prices in India fell below key psychological level of Rs 50,000 per 10 gm, extending losses to the third day in a row amid a slump in global rates. On MCX, gold futures hit Rs 49,660 at day's low. Silver futures were down about 3% to Rs 59,429 a kg. In international markets, spot gold prices dropped 0.3% to hti a two-month low at $1,858.39 an ounce.

LOOK WHO'S

Sebi eases right issue rules… Sebi has changed the minimum subscription requirement in rights issues, a move aimed at making fundraising easier for companies. The regulator on Wednesday said the mandatory 90% minimum subscription would not be applicable to those issuers where object of the issue involves financing other than financing of capex for a project, provided that the promoters and promoter group of the issuer undertake to subscribe fully to their portion of rights entitlement. Read More

IPO rush on even in a weak market… The initial public offerings of Chemcon Speciality Chemicals and CAMS closed on Wednesday with strong response from investors even as the stock market weakness extended for the third straight day. Bids for Chemcon's issue were 149 times the shares on offer, making it one of the most subscribed IPOs in last five years. The Rs 2,242 crore IPO of CAMS was subscribed 46.9 times. Read More

Baring accepts higher Hexaware delisting price… Hexaware Technologies will be the first to successfully delist from Indian bourses in two years after a holding company for Baring Private Equity Asia on Wednesday accepted the discovered price of Rs 475 a share against Rs 285 offered initially to minority investors. Hexaware's public shareholders who have tendered their equity shares at or below the exit price will be paid a consideration of Rs 475 per share. Read More

RBI says CPI will remain money policy anchor… A Reserve Bank of India working paper said that the consumer price index (CPI) should continue as the anchor for the monetary policy and interest rate decisions despite the fact that food accounts for nearly half of the weight in CPI in India. Omission of food from CPI would create the risk of under-prediction of inflation, the paper argued. Read More

AND WHO'S

TCS bears brunt of Mistry exit from Tata Sons… TCS shares bore the brunt of the uncertainty over the outcome of the conflict between Tata Group and its biggest minority shareholder Shapoorji Pallonji Group. With the Pallonji Mistry family offering to sell its stake in Tata Sons, a section of the market is concerned that the Tata Group might sell a portion of their stake in TCS, India's second-most valued company and the conglomerate's cash cow, to raise money to buy them out. TCS shares ended 2.2% down at Rs 2,467 on BSE on Wednesday. SP Group holds 18.4% in unlisted Tata Sons and could demand Rs 1.78 lakh crore for the stake. Read More

Jio pos-paid offer spooks Airtel, Vi… Shares of Vodafone Idea plunged more than 14% and Bharti Airtel's nearly 10% in intraday trade on Wednesday amid concerns around customer and revenue losses, a day after Reliance Jio unleashed aggressive postpaid plans, making a concerted bid for the higher paying customers of India's older operators. Just over four years since its launch in September 2016, Jio on Tuesday unveiled a gamut of offerings for postpaid subscribers, including family packs and access to OTT platforms such as Netflix and Amazon Prime. Read More

RBI has no details of loan writeoffs… RBI said it has no information about loans of the top 100 defaulters and wilful defaulters that banks had written off, just over four months after it had put the total write-off of the largest 50 wilful defaulters at Rs 68,600 crore. "The information sought is not available with us," the central bank said in a recent response to an RTI petition by a Kolkata-based activist Biswanath Goswami, who had sought details on the loans that had been written off. Read More

Short selling in GMM Pfaudler... Did some punters in the market get a whiff of the discounted pricing of the share sale by promoters of GMM Pfaudler? The unprecedented surge in demand for GMM shares in the Securities Lending and Borrowing or SLB segment before the announcement of the pricing of the offer for sale (OFS) suggests some market participants would have been aware of the details in advance, said brokers. Read More

Meanwhile...
Investment advisor norms from Sept 30… Sebi said on Wednesday the guidelines for investment advisors will come into force from September 30. According to the rules, a new client will be eligible to avail either advisory or distribution services within the group or family of the investment advisor and this option has to be made available at the time of onboarding. Existing clients will have to choose between distribution or advisory services, the regulator said. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,453  -54.3
16,440  -67.4
14,469  -39.98
14,500  -9.73
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

HUL said the number of pack sizes across its brands is now at about 40% compared with pre-Covid levels, part of the country's biggest consumer goods firm's strategy to focus on popular and faster-selling products.

Bharat Biotech said it has signed a licensing agreement with Washington University School of Medicine for a novel chimp-adenovirus, single-dose intranasal vaccine for Covid-19.

Global investment firm KKR is investing Rs 5,550 crore in Reliance Retail Ventures, becoming the second major global fund to do so in less than three weeks.

India's antitrust body will examine the online and offline aspects of the Reliance-Future Group deal – separately and together – to ascertain their effect on competition, according to an official.

Tech Mahindra has sold its entire stake in US-based Altiostar Networks to Rakuten for $45 million, making the Japanese company a majority shareholder in the virtualised radio access network technology firm.

UnQuote: MARKET CUES
Border tension, US elections to add uncertainty to market
Atul Suri, Marathon Trends PMS

The DAY PLANNER

    BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (05:20 am)
    ECB Economic Bulletin (01:30 pm)
    US Jobless Claims 4-Week Average 19/SEP (06:00 pm)
    BoE Gov Bailey Speech (07:30 pm)
    US New Home Sales MoM AUG (07:30 pm)
    US Fed Chair Powell Testimony (07:30 pm)
    ECB General Council Meeting
    European Council Special Meeting

OUTLOOK

Loan-to-value ratio high despite price drop
    Keki Mistry of HDFC says on an average, the loan-to-value ratio at the time a loan is granted is about 67-68 per cent, which means an individual who has bought an apartment has put in between 32 to 33 per cent of the value of the property as his own equity upfront. "Not only us, this is the case with most other lenders. Even if property prices come down a bit, the loan-to-value ratio would always remain significantly lower than what one would worry about. As an estimate, the ratio on an average in the books for most lenders in the market today is 40-42 per cent. So, that is not a concern at all," says he. Read More

It's a buy-on-dips market
    Nilesh Shah of Envision Capital says this remains a buy-on-dips market. "One needs to essentially keep accumulating the chosen set of stocks and use price declines to buy into them and keep constructing a portfolio with a 2-3-year outlook. Yes, in the short term, there can be speed-breakers and corrections cannot be ruled out, but I would still see those as opportunities to buy and as suitable entry points for your set of stocks. On the whole, on an aggregate basis, this market remains a buy-on-dips market," says he. Read More

Specialty chemicals seeing temporary halt
    Andrew Holland of Avendus Capital says the growth story is intact in speciality chemicals, and it is a long-term growth story. "But the prices have moved up significantly and some people are bound to take some profit off the table, hoping to buy back at a later stage. So these pockets will come under selling pressure as people just take money off the table because somewhere someone is going to be losing some money and book some profits somewhere. At the moment, the momentum has dried up to some extent," says he. Read More

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
S H Kelkar & Company Ltd. 23 Sep, 2020 | 11:53 AM IST buyBuy
Ceat Ltd. 23 Sep, 2020 | 11:22 AM IST buyBuy


No comments:

Post a Comment