Monday 30 September 2019

One fund drags DHFL to court to recover money | Strategic sale of 4 PSUs cleared | Airtel lines up overseas bond sale

MORNING NEWSLETTER

1 Oct, 2019 | 08:17 AM IST


Good Morning!

The H2 borrowing plan reflects government confidence in meeting the fiscal deficit target. This is good news, but wrapped in suspense. How Sitharaman plans to keep it at 3.3 per cent of GDP is not clear to anyone. Will strategic sale be enough? Will it be deferral of expenditure? Is an overseas sovereign bond coming? With the growth rate down at 5%, it's a real uphill task ahead

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Global share prices ticked up on Tuesday as some investors clung to hopes that China and the US could work towards a trade deal in fourth quarter. Read More

    SGX Nifty traded nearly 29 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling positivity on Dalal Street after Monday's fall. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan inched up 0.11%, while Japan's Nikkei rose 0.6%
    US stocks finished higher in the final trading session of the month and quarter. Dow rose 96.58 points, S&P500 14.95 points and the Nasdaq 6.91 points

Oil prices were under pressure on fading concerns of supply shortfalls and conflicts in West Asia. WTI crude rose 0.39% early Tuesday to $54.28 a barrel after falling 3.3% on Monday. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Sale Season… The government is getting set for a series of blockbuster divestments — lining up strategic sales in four blue-chip, state-run companies and firming up plans for embattled Air India. A group of secretaries on Monday cleared strategic sales in BPCL, BEML, Concor and SCI. Stake sales in power companies THDC India and Neepco, have also been approved. These could be taken over by state-run NTPC. Read More

Strong Signal… The government has stayed with the borrowing plan for the current fiscal announced in the budget, sending a strong signal that it will try and meet the fiscal deficit target for the year despite a sharp cut in corporate tax rate that is expected to cost Rs 1.45 lakh crore. It will borrow Rs 2.68 lakh crore in second half, having borrowed Rs 4.42 crore in the first half out of the total planned Rs 7.1 lakh crore for FY20, Finance Ministry said. Read More

WHO'S
Auto Woes… Brokerage Jefferies said it expects sharp cuts to FY20 earnings estimates of auto companies despite the recent corporate tax cut bonanza. Downgrading Maruti Suzuki to 'hold' after the recent runup in share price, the brokerage said the auto sector is still in the middle of a downcycle, which has lasted an average of 7-11 quarters. M&M is its top pick among auto stocks. Read More

Slowdown Signs… India's infrastructure output fell in August from a year earlier for the first time since April 2015, signalling the economic growth recovery in Asia's third largest economy may be slow despite a cut in the corporate tax rate and other policy measures designed to spur investment. Infrastructure output, which comprises eight sectors such as coal, crude oil and electricity, accounts for nearly 40% of India's industrial output. Read More

Deal Terms... Indiabulls and Lakshmi Vilas Bank will not renegotiate the share swap ratio for their merger proposed in April despite the share prices falling after the bank was placed under prompt corrective action. Read More

Meanwhile...India blocked a US request to set up a panel to settle its disagreement over retaliatory tariffs imposed by New Delhi on 28 American products including apples, almonds, walnuts, chemicals, chickpeas, pulses and some steel products. The US had taken India to the World Trade Organization in July for according "less favorable treatment" to its products. Read More
KEY INDICES
16,026  -245.55
13,171  -161.17
29,103  -773.5
15,540 + 303.75
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management has moved the Bombay High Court against stressed non-banking finance company DHFL to recover about Rs 478 crore.

    Bharti Airtel plans to raise about Rs 5,300 crore through the sale of overseas bonds to refinance debt and free up cash to invest in expanding its 4G network

    Investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala's wife Rekha has bought 19.65 lakh shares of Tata Communications (0.7% stake) at an average price of Rs 370 per share, bulk deal data on the BSE showed.

    YES Bank CEO Ravneet Gill refuted market speculation about the capital and liquidity position of the bank calling such talk "speculative, unsubstantiated and irresponsible".

    The Union steel ministry has called for deferring the proposed sale of NMDC's Nagarnar Steel Plant in Chhattisgarh until it is commissioned, citing huge investments and sensitivities of the Maoists-affected area

UnQuote: STATE OF THE MARKET
Bipolar behaviour of market may last longer
Anand Radhakrishnan, Franklin Templeton

Day Planner:

    RBI rate-setting meeting starts
    Sept auto sales data
    India manufacturing PMI data
    ECB President Draghi Speech

OUTLOOK

AUTO STOCKS
    Ajay Tyagi of UTI Mutual Fund says the auto sector provides very favourable risk-return opportunities for the simple reason that people are extrapolating what has happened in last few quarters into possibly a new normal for this sector over the next few years.

GOLD
    AxiTrader market strategist Stephen Innes says for the short term, there is some confusion, considering the contradicting headlines one is getting on the trade war. In these situations, what investors do is quit position in equities and switch to bond markets. This has boosted the dollar, which is in turn making gold expensive

RUPEE
    IFA says the rupee is likely to remain sideways and trade with a slight positive bias as investors await the government's H2 borrowing calendar, RBI monetary policy later this week and clarity on issuance of a sovereign foreign currency bond and India's inclusion in a global bond index.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management Ltd. 30 Sep, 2019 | 04:09 PM IST buyBuy
UPL Ltd. 30 Sep, 2019 | 11:57 AM IST buyBuy


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