Thursday, 10 October 2019

Trump sending out good vibes on trade talks | Sebi FDI tweak leaves investors in a knot | Indians can't buy local depository receipts

MORNING NEWSLETTER

11 Oct, 2019 | 08:27 AM IST


Good Morning!

Is a mid-year income-tax cut on the anvil? While the recent Direct Tax Code did propose lowering of both income and corporate tax rates, the government is ill at ease in going for a simultaneous cut in personal taxes following the Rs 1.45 lakh crore hit on the fiscs from the corporate rate cut. Yet, some economists say the FM might still bite the bullet and go in for a more effective and immediate demand-side booster should Diwali sales disappoint, bank advances remain slow and the government finds a way, say an OMO, to fund the fiscal gap.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Asian shares and US stock futures rose on Friday after President Donald Trump said he would meet with China's top trade negotiator. Read More

    SGX Nifty traded nearly 14 points higher at 7 am (IST), signalling positivity on Dalal Street. MSCI index for Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.5%, following on from gains on Wall Street. Australian shares climbed 0.8%, while Nikkei gained 0.9%.
    US stocks rose in overnight trade. Dow gained 151 points, while both S&P500 and the Nasdaq closed 0.6% higher.

Oil prices rose after the head of Opec said the organisation could take action to balance oil markets, including a deeper cut in oil supplies. US crude rose 0.43% to $53.78 a barrel while Brent rose 0.46% to $59.37. Read More

LOOK WHO'S

Good Vibes… US President Donald Trump gave an optimistic read on Thursday's trade talks between the US and China as the world's two largest economies try to end a damaging trade war. "I think it's going really well," the President said before he left Washington for a campaign rally in Minnesota. "So we had a very, very good negotiation with China. They'll be speaking a little bit later, but they're basically wrapping it up and we're going to see them tomorrow right here," he said. Read More

More Reforms!… Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman on Thursday said the government may amend the laws on cooperative banks to prevent malpractices and ensure better regulation. The government will also study if there is a need to increase the deposit insurance from the current Rs 1 lakh. A committee will study the issue of better regulation and coordination between different ministries and states, she said. Read More

WHO'S
FDI Tweak… Minority stakes in Indian companies, purchased by several offshore funds through the foreign direct investment route, now face uncertainty after the capital markets regulator put a 10% minimum ownership threshold to classify equity holdings below that level as portfolio investments. The change in classification will now require the affected overseas funds and private equity companies, which have already made such investments as FDI, to compulsorily secure licences as foreign portfolio investors. Obtaining such a licence would increase their compliance and regulatory burden. By contrast, FDI investments don't need any licence. Read More

DR Bar… The capital markets regulator has barred Indian citizens, including those ordinarily resident overseas, from buying depository receipts issued by locally-listed companies, seeking to tighten ownership rules on entities that are raising funds through equity sales abroad. Corporate lawyers said it is not clear whether the new rules, framed by the Sebi, would extend to Indian mutual funds as well. Read More

Tepid Outlook… Ratings agency Moody's Investors Service has cut India's economic growth forecast for 2019-20 to 5.8% from 6.8% saying the country now faces a broad-based slowdown. The projection is the most pessimistic yet and comes days after the Reserve Bank pared its FY20 growth projection to 6.1% from 6.8% estimated earlier. Read More

Meanwhile...
Shivinder Mohan Singh, the erstwhile promoter of Religare Enterprises and the Fortis Healthcare hospital chain, was arrested by the Economic Offences Wing of the Delhi Police on Thursday, along with three others. This followed a complaint of fund misappropriation at Religare Finvest, the lending arm of REL, to the tune of about Rs 2,400 crore. The EOW is on the lookout for older brother Malvinder Mohan Singh, who was in Ludhiana for medical treatment, said people with knowledge of the matter. Read More
KEY INDICES
15,540  -182.15
12,723  -73.17
28,013  -772.4
15,094  -34.95
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

Stocks to Watch >>>

    TCS reported lower-than-expected revenue and profits for the second quarter, as slow growth in the North American market made it difficult for India's largest IT services company to maintain the pace of double-digit revenue expansion for a second year in succession.

    The Supreme Court has disallowed the income-tax department's bid to reassess the accounts of Deepak Kochhar-owned NuPower Renewables to investigate an investment made in the company eight years ago

    Seattle-based healthcare chain Columbia Asia is in preliminary talks with strategic and financial investors, including Manipal Health Enterprises, Bain Capital and Temasek Holdings, to sell its Indian hospital operations for about $250-300 million.

    Indiabulls Housing Finance plunged 19% on Thursday to a five-year low of Rs 195, a day after RBI rejected its merger with Lakshmi Vilas Bank.

    ED has questioned Jet Airways founder Naresh Goyal in connection with alleged violations of the foreign exchange law in an equity deal in a company that operated the airline's loyalty and rewards programme.

UnQuote: DEBT'S THE WAY
Err on the side of caution when investing in fixed income funds
Dhirendra Kumar, Value Research

Day Planner:

    Q2 earnings: Infosys | Den | Bajaj Consumer
    India Aug IIP print
    Sept India bank deposit growth
    Oct RBI forex reserve
    US-China Trade Talks
    Xi Jinping's India visit

OUTLOOK

GOLD
    "Gold prices have been hit hard after the breaking news that President Trump is going to meet the Chinese vice-premier. This has increased the odds of a better deal taking place and this is exactly what investors have hoped," said Naeem Aslam, chief market analyst at ThinkMarkets.

RUPEE
    IFA Global says the key global drivers for the rupee in the near term would be the progress on US-China trade talks, the impeachment process against President Trump and outcome on the Brexit front. RBI's intent is to prevent the rupee from appreciating in relative terms, especially against the yuan. RBI has been mopping up inflows and is in the process of accumulating reserves.

BANKING
    Siddhartha Khemka of Motilal Oswal says private banks are something to watch out for in Q2 earnings. That is where bulk of growth will be coming in. We are expecting a 26% pre-provisioning profit growth and about 9% profit growth.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Bata India Ltd. 10 Oct, 2019 | 11:46 AM IST buyBuy
GMR Infrastructure Ltd. 10 Oct, 2019 | 12:01 PM IST buyBuy


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