Tuesday, 11 February 2020

Sebi shelves brokers' upfront margin plan | Bandhan Bank may get MSCI boost | Titan buys a tech firm

MORNING NEWSLETTER

12 Feb, 2020 | 08:23 AM IST

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Good Morning!

What really triggered the post-Budget stocks rally on Dalal Street? Did it dawn one fine morning on all investors that underneath the not-so-impressive Budget, there lies a layer that can help the economy rebound and grow? That too when markets are navigating so much uncertainty due to the coronavirus! As one analyst points out, it's liquidity playing its trick again. US bond yields are almost nearing their previous lows and because of that, money is sloshing into risk-on trade in assets outside.

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STREET PULSE: Where we stand
Nifty futures on the Singapore Exchange traded 28 points higher at 7 am (IST), indicating a good start ahead for Dalal Street. Asian shares and Wall Street futures nudged higher on Wednesday amid hopes the worst of the coronavirus in China may have passed, although prevailing uncertainty about the outbreak has kept investors wary. HERE'S WHAT TO WATCH

    MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.1%, while Australian shares rose 0.27% and Japan's Nikkei stock index gained 0.45%.

    On Wall Street, Dow fell 0.48 points to 29,276 in overnight trade, while S&P500 gained 5.66 points to 3,357 and the Nasdaq 10.55 points to 9,638.

    Oil prices rose for a second day on Wednesday amid preliminary signs that new coronavirus cases are slowing in China, easing concerns over the demand impact from the disease in the world's second-largest oil consumer. Brent crude rose 73 cents, or 1.3%, to $54.75 a barrel while WTI rose 46 cents, or 0.9%, to $50.39.

    The rupee settled unchanged at 71.28 against the US dollar on Tuesday ahead of the release of key domestic macroeconomic data.

LOOK WHO'S

Sebi Margin Rule Put on Hold… Sebi and stock exchanges have put on hold a proposal that would have required traders to pay the entire initial margins before executing even intraday trades, a move brokers said would have hit transaction volumes and made business unviable for many Dalal Street intermediaries. So, instead of its earlier proposal, Sebi could now allow brokers to part-finance their clients' initial margin requirements. At present, intra-day traders squaring off their positions on the same day pay only a tiny fraction of the upfront money needed to initiate a trade. Read More

Bandhan Awaits its Day in the Sun... Bandhan Bank's weight in the MSCI India Index is likely to go up by 32 basis points in its next rejig due to an increase in free float, which could trigger an inflow of about Rs 700 crore from overseas passive funds, Morgan Stanley said. MSCI will announce its review of indices Wednesday. Analysts tracking the Indian bank are bullish, with 14 of the 20 brokerages assigning a 'buy' rating, with an average target price of Rs 625, or 36% higher than the current market price. Read More

Adani, Vedanta Vie for Lanco Assets… Adani Group and Vedanta are competing to acquire Lanco's Amarkantak power plant located in the mine-rich Korba area of Chhattisgarh after it was admitted for insolvency proceedings by NCLT last year. Both parties are conducting due diligence on the power plant, which has 600 MW of operational thermal power capacity, 1,320 MW of under-construction capacity, and another 1,320 MW at the planning stage, after expression for interest was invited in December; neither has made a financial offer yet. Read More

WHO'S
US Lifts India Privileges… Ahead of President Donald Trump's visit on February 24-25, the US on Monday removed India from its list of developing countries that are exempt from investigations into whether they harm American industry with unfairly subsidised exports. The USTR eliminated a host of countries including Brazil, Indonesia, Hong Kong, South Africa and Argentina from getting special preferences under the methodology for countervailing duty investigations, stating that the previous guidance that dated back to 1998 "is now obsolete". Read More

TaMo's JLR in Long Break… Tata Motors' JLR subsidiary has told its vendor network that the shutdown of its manufacturing operations in China would be extended till February 17, as per the guidelines of the local authorities following the coronavirus outbreak there. Tata Motors is currently meeting institutional investors to update them on usual business matters. The shutdown at the plant due to the lunar new year was to end on February 4. Read More

Meanwhile...
Helping Hand… The government's Rs 12,500 crore Alternate Investment Fund, which offers last-mile funding to stuck housing projects, has disbursed funds to two housing projects and expects to fully deploy its money in two years. SBI Capital Markets, which has been entrusted by the government to manage the fund to kick-start stalled projects across the country, said the investments would kick-start the much-awaited investment cycle in residential realty and trigger private investor interest in housing projects. Read More
KEY INDICES
18,206 + 15.0
14,750  -26.38
31,301 + 242.45
16,452 + 20.35
Price Movers|Volume Movers|Near 52 Week High|Near 52 Week Low

For in-depth stock analysis, live market updates & more, download ET Markets App

Stocks to Watch >>>

    Titan has acquired Hyderabad-based technology firm HUG Innovations for an undisclosed amount as it looks to strengthen its smart watches and wearables division.

    Moody's on Monday changed IndusInd Bank's outlook to negative from stable due to further deterioration in its asset quality, but affirmed its domestic and foreign currency issuer ratings at Baa3,

    The Subhash Chandra-led Essel Group is in talks with Adani Transmission and Tata Power to sell its under-construction Warora-Kurnool transmission line in an attempt to lower debt.

    IRB Infrastructure Developers is slated to win the contract for operating and collecting toll at Mumbai-Pune Expressway for a decade, after it emerged as the only player in the race

    Adani Transmission, a power transmission unit of billionaire Gautam Adani, plans to raise up to $1billion in bond sale, which is likely to be launched in the first month of the next fiscal as it plans to reduce its cost of borrowing

    IEX has seen a 50% rebound in volumes after an extended run of the annual monsoon rains, federal elections and weak core industry demand dented business on India's largest power exchange.

    Piramal Enterprises is looking at a big-bang launch of its online consumer lending unit. The speculation is that Piramal may tie-up with a large telecom player in an attempt to aggressively push its digital consumer lending business.

    India's largest agri derivatives exchange, NCDEX, plans to go public to raise about Rs 500 crore.

    Sebi has asked NSE to divest its complete stake in its associate company Computer Age Management Systems, said two people privy to the development.

UnQuote: OPPORTUNITY IN CRISIS
China's coronavirus epidemic a big opportunity for Make in India
H Nemkumar, IIFL

The DAY PLANNER

    Q3 Earnings: Hindalco | IRCTC | Natco Pharma | NBCC | PFC | Suzlon | Torrent Power | ABB | Dish TV I Divi's Lab I Essar Shipping I HCG |
    India Dec Industrial Production
    India Jan Inflation Rate
    Feb API Crude Oil Stock Change
    ECB Lane Speech
    Fed Chair Powell Testimony
    OPEC Monthly Report

OUTLOOK

DMART: GROWTH BET
    Yogesh Mehta of Yield Maximiser says the valuation in stocks like Trent and DMart will remain high even if it corrects by 10%, say from 105 PE multiple to 95 PE multiple or so. "But that is not showing any kind of support. This is a reasonable valuation. If the growth for the PAT number and the EPS growth is 35% to 38% over next two years, then I am ready to pay that. These are companies which are not to be evaluated on PE basis. These are simply evaluated on the basis of growth rate," he said.

SMALLCAPS: SHIFT IS ON
    Ayon Mukhopadhayay of IIFL Securities Europe says more and more people are increasingly looking at smallcap and midcap ideas. "If there is a broad-based easing of the issue that has been plaguing the economy over the last few years, there will be a broad based rally and the small and midcaps will definitely catch up. NBFCs with AAA or AA rating, should be the first to be out of the woods," he said.

BANKS: VALUATIONS FAVOURABLE
    Vinay Sharma of Nippon Life India says some of the PSU banks are available at market caps equal to some of the smaller private lenders. "Valuations remain on your side and one has to be selectively positive on the PSU space. On the overall space, while retail banks have been fairly steady compounders for a long time, that story is likely to continue because they will keep tripping some market share away from others," he said.

STOCKS RECOMMENDATIONS
Mahindra & Mahindra Ltd. 11 Feb, 2020 | 08:56 AM IST SellSell
Berger Paints (India) Ltd. 11 Feb, 2020 | 08:57 AM IST buyBuy


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